NFELO → Models → Win probability

Win probability

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Pick a 2026 game. Watch win probability move snap by snap.

Machine Learning applied to Football

Open the game chart

01Game chart

Game chart

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02Excitement index

Excitement index

Total snap-to-snap movement in win probability.

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03Result

Result

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04Specification

Specification

Win chance from the game state plus pregame team strength (the NFELO model).